Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.002324 0.002455 0.002595 0.002755 0.002935 0.003133 0.003367
2025-05-11 0.002118 0.002296 0.002495 0.002737 0.003027 0.003371 0.003818
2025-05-18 0.002019 0.002233 0.002484 0.002803 0.003211 0.003730 0.004472
2025-05-25 0.001903 0.002135 0.002414 0.002783 0.003276 0.003942 0.004975
2025-06-01 0.001797 0.002037 0.002332 0.002733 0.003289 0.004076 0.005391
2025-06-08 0.001753 0.002011 0.002334 0.002789 0.003447 0.004440 0.006267
2025-06-15 0.001707 0.001977 0.002323 0.002823 0.003575 0.004778 0.007226
2025-06-22 0.001642 0.001913 0.002266 0.002785 0.003587 0.004925 0.007870
2025-06-29 0.001580 0.001850 0.002206 0.002737 0.003576 0.005028 0.008460
2025-07-06 0.001529 0.001799 0.002158 0.002703 0.003583 0.005162 0.009197
2025-07-13 0.001450 0.001708 0.002050 0.002571 0.003415 0.004938 0.008879
2025-07-20 0.001414 0.001672 0.002019 0.002552 0.003436 0.005087 0.009714
2025-07-27 0.001399 0.001667 0.002032 0.002607 0.003595 0.005566 0.012075
2025-08-03 0.001368 0.001637 0.002009 0.002604 0.003652 0.005845 0.014143
2025-08-10 0.001358 0.001637 0.002029 0.002670 0.003845 0.006502 0.019577
2025-08-17 0.001327 0.001606 0.002000 0.002653 0.003878 0.006774 0.023901
2025-08-24 0.001291 0.001565 0.001956 0.002608 0.003849 0.006870 0.027416
2025-08-31 0.001281 0.001563 0.001968 0.002659 0.004022 0.007618 0.047595
2025-09-07 0.001267 0.001553 0.001969 0.002691 0.004159 0.008332 0.110969
2025-09-14 0.001238 0.001521 0.001934 0.002656 0.004146 0.008527 0.233150
2025-09-21 0.001209 0.001487 0.001895 0.002612 0.004106 0.008617 0.904542
2025-09-28 0.001184 0.001459 0.001864 0.002581 0.004093 0.008811 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001140 0.001402 0.001786 0.002460 0.003862 0.008076 0.575336